Race 10A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tyler Miller 12.8% 15.9% 12.8% 15.3% 13.6% 13.0% 8.1% 4.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Roman 22.9% 23.8% 18.4% 12.2% 11.4% 6.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Weinberg 4.1% 5.4% 9.6% 9.4% 12.8% 14.5% 14.0% 11.6% 9.7% 4.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Connor Rosow 24.3% 18.3% 18.6% 17.1% 9.5% 6.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Beck Lorsch 5.4% 5.3% 7.7% 7.2% 11.0% 11.5% 12.7% 15.9% 8.6% 7.0% 5.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Finn Bascio 0.7% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.9% 7.3% 8.7% 13.2% 13.1% 17.0% 15.5% 9.6%
Grant Adam 19.3% 15.9% 16.6% 15.6% 11.3% 9.8% 6.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Crandall 3.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.0% 8.0% 9.5% 10.2% 12.3% 15.0% 13.5% 8.4% 4.9% 1.5%
Andrew White 2.2% 3.2% 3.8% 5.0% 5.9% 6.7% 10.1% 13.0% 12.3% 15.5% 11.4% 7.8% 3.1%
Sean Lund 2.7% 4.3% 2.9% 5.8% 6.1% 9.3% 13.8% 11.4% 13.1% 12.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.9%
Robin Potter 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 3.0% 3.8% 5.9% 7.3% 10.3% 15.0% 22.0% 27.5%
Andy Giaya 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.5% 3.4% 5.0% 5.5% 7.3% 10.4% 16.2% 20.6% 24.9%
Gray Dinsel 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 3.1% 5.6% 8.5% 10.3% 13.6% 20.5% 29.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.