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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+1.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+2.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University0.66+2.45vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+1.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.41-0.91vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.70+2.60vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.76+3.65vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.72vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.90-0.02vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.62-1.58vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.95+0.28vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+0.15vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-1.55vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.40-11.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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4.6Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.45Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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8.6McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.65Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.72University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.98Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.42Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.28Bates College-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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2.42Roger Williams University2.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 29.5% | 25.3% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 8.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 9.5% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 11.4% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| John Hull | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 21.9% | 38.1% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 23.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 34.9% | 23.2% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.