← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.41+2.97vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.40+0.40vs Predicted
-
3Brown University0.64+2.46vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.02+0.71vs Predicted
-
5Yale University0.66+0.54vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-1.95+5.34vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.24-4.38vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.76+2.79vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-0.62-0.62vs Predicted
-
10McGill University-0.70-1.48vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+1.16vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-0.82-3.17vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-1.60vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University-0.90-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
-
2.4Roger Williams University2.400.3%1st Place
-
5.46Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.71Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
-
5.54Yale University0.660.0%1st Place
-
11.34Bates College-1.950.0%1st Place
-
2.62University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
-
10.79Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
-
8.38Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
-
8.52McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
-
12.16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
-
8.83University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.88Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Polek | 11.5% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 34.3% | 25.8% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hull | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 21.4% | 19.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 29.4% | 24.1% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 16.2% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 23.4% | 36.9% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 21.2% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.