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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+1.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64+1.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.41-0.92vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.66-0.47vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.70+1.30vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.62+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.82-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.44+2.19vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.95+0.30vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.90-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-1.58vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.76-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Roger Williams University2.400.4%1st Place
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2.59University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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8.3McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
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8.3Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.85University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.440.0%1st Place
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11.3Bates College-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.01Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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10.79Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 35.1% | 26.1% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 29.0% | 26.5% | 21.3% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Carissa Keung | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 39.1% |
| John Hull | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 22.0% | 19.6% |
| Garrett Moen | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 22.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.