Race 7B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Declan Botwinick 28.5% 25.8% 19.9% 13.0% 7.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niall Sheridan 7.6% 10.2% 12.1% 16.8% 17.2% 14.3% 10.7% 5.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 33.0% 27.8% 18.2% 10.1% 7.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Polek 12.3% 13.6% 18.2% 18.6% 14.7% 11.0% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Rifkind-Brown 6.1% 7.6% 9.9% 12.6% 14.1% 17.1% 13.9% 9.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Pierre Offredi 1.2% 2.0% 2.3% 4.2% 5.1% 7.6% 10.6% 14.2% 14.8% 15.4% 13.2% 7.1% 2.3%
Ozel Yilmazel 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 2.6% 3.6% 4.7% 7.2% 9.9% 13.0% 20.0% 34.9%
Garrett Moen 1.2% 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 4.5% 5.8% 9.6% 13.0% 14.0% 16.9% 13.5% 9.9% 4.5%
Keller Morrison 5.9% 6.5% 10.2% 10.7% 15.6% 15.4% 14.2% 10.8% 6.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Henry Poynter 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 4.1% 4.6% 5.7% 10.3% 13.3% 15.0% 13.7% 13.6% 9.6% 4.7%
John Hull 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 3.6% 3.6% 5.1% 7.3% 12.2% 15.9% 21.7% 27.7%
Evelyn Lane 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 3.6% 6.6% 8.9% 11.0% 14.8% 24.2% 23.1%
Michael Cunniff 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 3.9% 5.2% 7.9% 11.7% 13.5% 15.9% 13.6% 14.0% 6.6% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.