Race 3B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Brelage 30.4% 25.6% 18.1% 11.9% 7.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Gumny 5.2% 5.5% 8.0% 9.3% 12.0% 14.9% 15.8% 13.8% 10.9% 4.5%
Luke Adams 21.3% 21.0% 19.6% 14.4% 10.5% 7.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Dylan Flack 16.2% 17.4% 16.6% 16.4% 13.2% 9.6% 6.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Bradlee Anderson 9.8% 10.1% 12.3% 15.1% 15.8% 14.0% 12.0% 7.0% 3.3% 0.5%
Henry Parker 6.8% 7.5% 9.4% 12.2% 16.1% 14.4% 14.2% 11.8% 5.8% 1.8%
Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski 2.0% 2.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.3% 7.3% 9.7% 15.9% 22.9% 28.5%
Tyler Williams 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 4.7% 5.3% 7.0% 11.0% 17.6% 22.7% 24.0%
Will Bilowz 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 3.5% 4.1% 6.9% 8.1% 13.9% 22.4% 35.1%
Kay Lyon 4.7% 6.0% 7.3% 8.6% 10.9% 14.3% 17.1% 15.3% 10.4% 5.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.