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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+1.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University0.66+3.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+1.73vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40-1.54vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.90+3.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.41-2.03vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.64-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.82+0.58vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.70-0.64vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.62-1.87vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.95-0.21vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-0.85vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.76-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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5.43Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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2.46Roger Williams University2.400.3%1st Place
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8.66Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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3.97University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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8.58University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.36McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
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8.13Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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10.79Bates College-1.950.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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10.65Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 27.9% | 25.8% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 31.7% | 27.6% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| John Polek | 12.8% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.5% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Poynter | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| John Hull | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 24.3% | 25.0% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 22.0% | 37.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 21.2% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.