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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.41+2.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+1.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24-1.34vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64+0.47vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.66-0.61vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.90+1.66vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.70+0.33vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.76+1.52vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.36vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.62-2.95vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.07-0.88vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.95-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Roger Williams University2.400.3%1st Place
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4.02University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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2.66University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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5.47Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University0.660.1%1st Place
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8.66Salve Regina University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.33McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
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10.52Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.64University of New Hampshire-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.05Fairfield University-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.070.0%1st Place
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10.92Bates College-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 33.3% | 27.3% | 18.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 11.8% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 7.7% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 28.6% | 26.8% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rifkind-Brown | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Pierre Offredi | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 23.5% |
| Henry Poynter | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Michael Cunniff | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 23.5% | 35.1% |
| John Hull | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 25.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.