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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+8.81vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.46+8.56vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.11+8.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+2.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07+0.78vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65+1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-1.89vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.54-3.77vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-4.60vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.50-1.54vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-3.34vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.00-6.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.12-3.42vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.49vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.94vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.16-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.53Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.23Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.4Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.46Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.66Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.58Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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15.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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14.69Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Walter Henry | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Will Priebe | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 18.8% | 38.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.