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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+5.46vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+3.42vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.26vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+2.78vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+0.43vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.62+2.69vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65+1.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.00-1.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.12+0.77vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16+3.08vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.50-2.97vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-2.65vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-5.21vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-5.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.94vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.54-12.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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15.08Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.03Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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15.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 36.1% |
| James Paul | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Walter Henry | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 21.3% | 35.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.