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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+8.25vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+5.78vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+3.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+2.23vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.29vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+5.65vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.00+1.13vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.50+2.02vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65+0.54vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16+4.98vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-3.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.00vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-3.33vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.46-4.03vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-3.36vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.42-9.50vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.07-9.09vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.65Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.02Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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14.98Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.5Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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14.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Will Priebe | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 19.5% | 35.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Walter Henry | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 19.0% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.