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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+7.31vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+5.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+4.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.54+1.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+3.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23+0.17vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+2.72vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.84vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.50-1.51vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.81vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.65-4.78vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-5.24vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-5.64vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-2.06vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.12-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.82Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.72Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.49Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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14.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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14.94Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| James Paul | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 35.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Walter Henry | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 18.7% | 37.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.