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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+5.18vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+8.12vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.46+7.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+2.17vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+3.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.37vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12+3.57vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-1.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.47-3.53vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.85vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-1.51vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.50-4.17vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.12-7.46vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.16-1.13vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.00-8.79vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.12Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.47Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.83Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.54Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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14.87Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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14.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Walter Henry | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| James Paul | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 33.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 20.2% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.