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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.23+6.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.58vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+3.16vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+3.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.42vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+4.32vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.11+4.65vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.00+0.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+0.80vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.12-2.14vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-0.73vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.47-5.42vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.65-3.63vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.62-4.67vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.12-3.39vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.84vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.16-2.03vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.42Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.86Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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14.97Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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14.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Jack Egan | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| James Paul | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Will Priebe | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 36.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.