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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+4.32vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.63+5.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+1.66vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.85-0.46vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+3.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.57vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92-0.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.58vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.38vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.87-0.18vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.89-1.19vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.76-5.11vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-5.98vs Predicted
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15Princeton University2.23-2.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy0.86-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Pennsylvania3.630.1%1st Place
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5.66Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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4.54Yale University4.850.2%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.3Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.82Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.81Cornell University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College3.760.0%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.74Princeton University2.230.0%1st Place
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15.09U. S. Military Academy0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Fred Strammer | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Hannon | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 4.1% |
| Vincent Andrews | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 4.2% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Cooke | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 31.9% | 13.7% |
| Michael Weigand | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.