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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.61+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.37+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.25+2.12vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University1.25+4.03vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan3.02-2.59vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.600.00vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.44-0.53vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University2.41-4.28vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.69-0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame0.27-0.05vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame0.60-2.04vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois0.38-2.22vs Predicted
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14Purdue University-0.11-2.02vs Predicted
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17University of Chicago0.60-7.06vs Predicted
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18Northern Michigan University-0.27-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Wisconsin2.610.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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8.03Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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4.72Northwestern University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.63Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Notre Dame0.600.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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11.98Purdue University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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12.16Northern Michigan University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Porter | 17.3% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thompson | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 23.3% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Oliver | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Lawrence Jau | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Eric DeFeo | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Farrell | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 12.5% |
| Emily Golden | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Ken Rood | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 25.7% |
| Paul Kaplan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Leon | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.