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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+8.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+4.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+4.86vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+2.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+0.96vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23+0.16vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.46+2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+2.65vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.12+1.91vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-0.71vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.03vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-3.31vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16+0.59vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.65-5.53vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.91vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.94vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.07-10.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.86Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.29Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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14.59Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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15.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.9% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Walter Henry | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 33.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 18.8% | 38.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.