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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.15vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.65+6.89vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+2.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.94vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00+1.82vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.07+0.54vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-1.94vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.12+1.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.34vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-1.31vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.50-2.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-3.75vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-7.28vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-1.29vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.62-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.06Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.25Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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13.71Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 11.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 5.6% |
| James Paul | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 51.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.