Race 11A

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jack Egan 6.9% 10.5% 8.9% 7.6% 8.8% 7.7% 8.0% 7.3% 6.5% 6.4% 5.2% 6.2% 5.1% 2.5% 2.3% 0.1%
Connor Nelson 11.9% 10.5% 11.3% 9.5% 8.6% 6.8% 8.4% 7.2% 6.4% 6.2% 4.3% 3.2% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Aidan Hoogland 7.3% 6.6% 7.2% 6.9% 7.5% 8.1% 7.7% 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 7.5% 5.4% 3.9% 4.4% 2.3% 1.0%
Colman Schofield 4.5% 6.3% 6.8% 6.5% 6.6% 5.3% 6.5% 6.9% 6.7% 8.4% 6.4% 7.3% 7.3% 7.6% 4.7% 2.2%
Kerem Erkmen 7.9% 8.7% 8.6% 9.1% 9.0% 8.1% 8.5% 6.6% 7.7% 6.3% 5.6% 5.9% 4.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Patrick Mulcahy 2.1% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 4.6% 4.7% 5.7% 6.7% 6.7% 7.6% 12.4% 16.7% 17.7%
Will Priebe 3.3% 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 3.3% 4.2% 3.6% 5.3% 4.9% 4.5% 7.9% 7.9% 11.3% 11.0% 12.7% 9.4%
Sam Bruce 5.5% 5.7% 5.3% 6.8% 6.0% 6.2% 5.4% 7.5% 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 8.9% 8.2% 5.0% 4.7% 2.3%
Lachlain McGranahan 13.7% 10.5% 11.1% 11.1% 8.7% 9.4% 8.7% 5.5% 5.7% 4.7% 4.1% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Christopher Lukens 5.1% 5.7% 3.9% 5.3% 5.6% 5.5% 6.7% 6.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.6% 9.1% 6.8% 7.2% 5.4% 2.7%
Tyler Mowry 5.3% 4.9% 5.1% 5.2% 5.3% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 7.5% 6.1% 7.3% 8.3% 9.2% 9.5% 5.9% 2.7%
Harris Padegs 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.2% 5.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.9% 12.3% 15.7% 15.6%
Colleen O'Brien 6.4% 8.4% 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 8.2% 7.8% 8.5% 6.9% 6.4% 6.8% 5.1% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Robert Bragg 12.3% 10.3% 11.7% 10.7% 8.6% 10.3% 5.6% 7.1% 6.5% 5.9% 3.8% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
James Paul 4.3% 3.6% 3.8% 4.3% 6.3% 5.2% 7.6% 6.4% 5.6% 6.7% 7.8% 8.9% 9.4% 9.4% 7.9% 2.8%
Pearl Lattanzi 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 4.6% 6.5% 8.9% 16.5% 42.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.