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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+4.58vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.16+11.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.76+8.72vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.85+7.51vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.01vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+4.54vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+1.80vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12-1.15vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.00-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.23-3.38vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-1.75vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.07-4.79vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.54-7.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-5.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-6.57vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.57-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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13.23Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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6.01Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.54Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.25Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 40.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 17.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 16.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.