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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+9.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+3.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+6.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+1.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.26vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+1.65vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.43+2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07+2.42vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.74+2.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+2.15vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-2.57vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-2.92vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.82-5.59vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.45-5.20vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.00vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.11-2.04vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-3.80vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.82-10.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.4Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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11.79Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.15Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.08Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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16.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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13.2Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.4Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 4.7% |
| Dana Haig | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 52.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 11.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.