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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.53+6.95vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+1.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.01vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81+2.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+3.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.33vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.82-0.52vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.40-3.59vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.45-0.71vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.82-3.31vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.38-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.11+0.70vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-4.54vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-2.81vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.74-5.12vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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4.83Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.41Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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11.71Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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13.19Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.88Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.3% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| William Michels | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 21.2% | 16.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 11.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.