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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.72+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.53+1.10vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University1.25+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.86-2.33vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.03+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.46-2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-0.11-0.25vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.25-4.35vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.79+1.54vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-0.46-2.28vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-0.01-4.38vs Predicted
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14University of Chicago-2.40-0.35vs Predicted
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15University of Illinois-0.17-5.83vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.63-3.80vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.48-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Wisconsin2.720.2%1st Place
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3.1University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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5.58Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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8.44Marquette University0.030.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.65Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
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12.54Purdue University-1.790.0%1st Place
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9.72Northern Michigan University-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Chicago-2.400.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Illinois-0.170.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Michigan-1.630.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Michigan-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 24.7% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 21.0% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 29.8% | 23.3% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brackman | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Davis | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| David Kluger | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristen Rathbun | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 20.9% |
| Elizabeth Kinney | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Condit | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Christian Herwig | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 19.6% | 50.3% |
| Kevan Lee Lum | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Brand Koster | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 14.7% |
| Riley Moran | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.