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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+4.61vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+6.30vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.98vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+2.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+3.32vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+4.93vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81-0.44vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43+0.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-4.27vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.33vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.53-2.95vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.74-1.37vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.82-6.68vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-6.75vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-2.84vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.00vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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4.91Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.93Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.05Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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11.63Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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13.16Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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15.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 10.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.