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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+8.23vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.53+6.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.92vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+2.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+1.60vs Predicted
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72.64+1.28vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.43-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83+2.37vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.82-2.24vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74+0.80vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37+1.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.64-8.33vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.38-5.03vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-3.17vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-6.93vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.07vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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7.52Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.282.640.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.8Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.33Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.67Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.97Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.83Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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15.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.5% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 12.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.5% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 18.2% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.