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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+6.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+7.32vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+4.76vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+3.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.40+0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.11+7.84vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+2.24vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+3.77vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.53-0.47vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83+0.48vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.64-7.00vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.43-7.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-4.21vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-1.95vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-6.93vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.93vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.74-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.48Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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13.84University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.77Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.28Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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13.05Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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16.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.5% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 16.0% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 4.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Dana Haig | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 15.2% | 55.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.