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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+3.50vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+4.79vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+3.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.99vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83+4.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53+0.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.05vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-4.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-2.63vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.82-4.14vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-1.22vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11-0.38vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-3.32vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.38-6.69vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.93vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.5Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.44Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.78Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.31Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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16.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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12.91Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 14.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 55.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.