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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.82+6.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+3.39vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+4.56vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+5.12vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+3.40vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+5.81vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07+3.28vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.64-3.34vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-1.35vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43-1.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-1.96vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.74-0.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.29vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.43-8.59vs Predicted
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152.64-6.86vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-3.26vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.39Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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11.81Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.65Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.42Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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5.41Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.142.640.1%1st Place
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12.74Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 7.5% |
| Miles Williams | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 7.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 14.0% | 60.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 13.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.