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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+4.33vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+2.31vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+3.61vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37+7.52vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+1.66vs Predicted
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72.64+1.12vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43+0.79vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-1.43vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.53-1.59vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69+0.73vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+3.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.99vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.38-4.76vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-4.69vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-7.04vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.74-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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4.59Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.31Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.52Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.66Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.122.640.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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11.73Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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15.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.5Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.6% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 12.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Dana Haig | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 8.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 60.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Miles Williams | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.