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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+4.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+5.39vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.69+8.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.38+5.12vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+3.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+3.15vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+0.52vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45+0.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.43-3.48vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.64-5.38vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.12vs Predicted
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132.64-4.68vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-1.25vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-3.58vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-8.43vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.58Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.52Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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8.322.640.1%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.42Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.57Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 7.9% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.8% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 13.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.