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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+7.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+7.08vs Predicted
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32.64+5.13vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.69+7.63vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+2.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.11vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-2.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43+0.79vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+6.46vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-2.60vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-5.51vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.07-1.73vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-7.48vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.81-6.30vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.74-4.50vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.45-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.132.640.1%1st Place
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11.63Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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15.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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7.4Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.49Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.7Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.5Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Dana Haig | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.5% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 13.0% | 61.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 13.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 6.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.