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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+7.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+2.41vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+3.51vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+3.72vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+1.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-1.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.60vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.74+2.58vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-1.12vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-2.08vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69-0.46vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-3.58vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.33vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.07-5.73vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.82-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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4.6Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.41Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.61Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.54Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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15.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.3% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 6.3% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 6.7% |
| Maks Groom | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 60.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 14.8% |
| Miles Williams | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| William Michels | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.