← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.72+1.84vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University1.25+3.52vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan2.86-0.37vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University1.25+1.61vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota2.53-2.75vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin1.46-1.82vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-0.11-0.22vs Predicted
-
10University of Notre Dame-0.01-1.39vs Predicted
-
11Northern Michigan University-0.46-1.35vs Predicted
-
12Marquette University0.03-3.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Chicago-2.40+0.48vs Predicted
-
14University of Illinois-0.17-4.87vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan-1.63-2.64vs Predicted
-
16Purdue University-1.79-3.49vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan-1.48-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
-
5.52Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
-
2.63University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
-
5.61Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
-
3.25University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
-
5.18University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
-
8.78University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.61University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
-
9.65Northern Michigan University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
8.55Marquette University0.030.0%1st Place
-
13.48University of Chicago-2.400.0%1st Place
-
9.13University of Illinois-0.170.0%1st Place
-
12.36University of Michigan-1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.51Purdue University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
11.91University of Michigan-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 26.5% | 24.4% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Kluger | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 30.0% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 19.1% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Davis | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Condit | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Kinney | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Brackman | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Christian Herwig | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 47.1% |
| Kevan Lee Lum | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brand Koster | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 22.5% | 17.8% |
| Kristen Rathbun | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 25.0% | 20.1% |
| Riley Moran | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.