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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+9.13vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.43+6.04vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.20+5.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.24+4.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.79+5.46vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.73+4.83vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.30+1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.05+2.27vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+2.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.94+0.40vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.18-2.04vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.08-2.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-5.08vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.82-3.57vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.48vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.14-10.73vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.60-9.59vs Predicted
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18Brown University0.41-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.7%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University1.436.7%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island1.206.0%1st Place
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8.59Brown University1.245.9%1st Place
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10.46Brown University0.794.5%1st Place
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10.83Roger Williams University0.733.2%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island1.306.6%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island1.054.6%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.4%1st Place
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10.4Roger Williams University0.944.0%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University1.185.5%1st Place
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9.18Brown University1.086.0%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Rhode Island0.823.7%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.6%1st Place
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5.27Brown University2.1415.1%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.607.4%1st Place
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12.18Brown University0.412.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Jed Lory | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Max Sigel | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Grace Ivancich | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Jack Crager | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Julian Dahiya | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 18.4% |
| Tyler Lamm | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.