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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+7.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.69+9.45vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+4.35vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+5.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.40+0.33vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-1.19vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-1.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+1.68vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.53-0.29vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.81-2.63vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74+0.47vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.45-3.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.07-2.69vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.33vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.42vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-8.56vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.38-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.45Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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4.81Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.31Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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8.71Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.47Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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15.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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12.58Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.44Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 6.2% |
| William Michels | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.0% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 6.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Miles Williams | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 12.8% | 60.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 13.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.