← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.72+1.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.46+3.09vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota2.53+0.12vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan2.86-1.31vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University1.25-0.38vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University1.25-1.36vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-0.01+0.53vs Predicted
-
9University of Illinois-0.17-0.03vs Predicted
-
10University of Notre Dame-0.11-1.15vs Predicted
-
11Marquette University0.03-2.44vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan-1.63+0.23vs Predicted
-
13Northern Michigan University-0.46-3.15vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan-1.48-1.93vs Predicted
-
16Purdue University-1.79-3.51vs Predicted
-
18University of Chicago-2.40-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.86University of Wisconsin2.720.2%1st Place
-
5.09University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
-
3.12University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
-
2.69University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
-
5.62Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
-
5.64Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
-
8.53University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.97University of Illinois-0.170.0%1st Place
-
8.85University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.56Marquette University0.030.0%1st Place
-
12.23University of Michigan-1.630.0%1st Place
-
9.85Northern Michigan University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
12.07University of Michigan-1.480.0%1st Place
-
12.49Purdue University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
13.43University of Chicago-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 23.6% | 28.0% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Davis | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 21.1% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 29.9% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Kluger | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Condit | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Kevan Lee Lum | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Brackman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Brand Koster | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 17.8% |
| Elizabeth Kinney | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Riley Moran | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 13.9% |
| Kristen Rathbun | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 24.4% | 19.8% |
| Christian Herwig | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.