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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+7.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.14+3.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.60+4.21vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.20+4.50vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.43+3.13vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.73+4.75vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.79+3.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.24+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.30-0.68vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.94+0.34vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.18-2.19vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.82-1.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.60vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-1.52vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.08-5.68vs Predicted
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16Brown University0.41-3.76vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.05-6.53vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.3%1st Place
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5.1Brown University2.1416.5%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University1.608.7%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island1.205.7%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University1.436.7%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University0.733.8%1st Place
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10.57Brown University0.793.6%1st Place
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8.33Brown University1.246.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island1.306.8%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University0.943.9%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University1.185.9%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island0.823.9%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.4%1st Place
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12.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.8%1st Place
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9.32Brown University1.085.6%1st Place
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12.24Brown University0.412.5%1st Place
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10.47University of Rhode Island1.054.2%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.883.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 16.5% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Jed Lory | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Grace Ivancich | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| Jack Crager | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 18.2% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 16.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.