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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.99vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.89vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+1.46vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.78+1.37vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.38+2.67vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.13-1.32vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.37-0.66vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-3.68vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.35-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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4.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.1%1st Place
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5.37Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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6.34Cornell University1.370.1%1st Place
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4.32George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.28SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Corsig | 16.7% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Will Murray | 15.2% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Richard Gleason | 13.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 9.3% |
| Aidan Lane | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 56.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
| Sophia Peck | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 25.5% | 17.5% |
| Owen Timms | 14.2% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Spencer Barnes | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.