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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.74vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+2.17vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.35+1.32vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.38+3.73vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.37+1.11vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.13-2.23vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.78-2.50vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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4.17Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.32SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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7.73Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
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6.11Cornell University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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5.5Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.28George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 19.6% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 12.9% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Spencer Barnes | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Aidan Lane | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 57.6% |
| Sophia Peck | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 18.0% |
| Richard Gleason | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 9.0% |
| Owen Timms | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.