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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.91vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.35+1.32vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.39vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50-1.09vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.38+1.84vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78-1.50vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-3.62vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.37-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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4.32SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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3.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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3.91Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.84Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.5Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.1%1st Place
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6.25Cornell University1.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Timms | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Cole Woodworth | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Spencer Barnes | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Will Murray | 18.7% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Lane | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 16.4% | 59.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 8.5% |
| Richard Gleason | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Peck | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 25.4% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.