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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.18+7.69vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.73+8.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.82+7.61vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.43+4.26vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.14+0.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.41+6.11vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60+0.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.24+0.29vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.94+1.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-1.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.05-1.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.62vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.30-5.65vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.39vs Predicted
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16Brown University0.79-5.48vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.08-7.54vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.20-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Roger Williams University1.185.8%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University0.733.5%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island0.823.4%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University1.436.0%1st Place
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5.09Brown University2.1417.1%1st Place
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12.11Brown University0.412.2%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University1.607.6%1st Place
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8.29Brown University1.247.2%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University0.943.5%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.9%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.5%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island1.054.8%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.6%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island1.307.5%1st Place
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12.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.1%1st Place
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10.52Brown University0.794.8%1st Place
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9.46Brown University1.084.5%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island1.205.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% |
| Owen Grainger | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Jed Lory | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Lamm | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.2% |
| Jack Roman | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.6% |
| Grace Ivancich | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| Julian Dahiya | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.