← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.72+1.89vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota2.53+1.13vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.46+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.25+1.67vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University1.25+0.69vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan2.86-4.33vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-0.01+0.57vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University0.03-0.49vs Predicted
-
10University of Notre Dame-0.11-1.14vs Predicted
-
11University of Illinois0.01-2.32vs Predicted
-
12Northern Michigan University-0.46-2.27vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan-1.63-0.62vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan-1.48-1.90vs Predicted
-
16University of Chicago-2.40-2.52vs Predicted
-
17Purdue University-1.79-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89University of Wisconsin2.720.3%1st Place
-
3.13University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
-
5.17University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
-
5.67Northwestern University1.250.0%1st Place
-
5.69Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
-
2.67University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
-
8.57University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.51Marquette University0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.86University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.68University of Illinois0.010.0%1st Place
-
9.73Northern Michigan University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
12.38University of Michigan-1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.1University of Michigan-1.480.0%1st Place
-
13.48University of Chicago-2.400.0%1st Place
-
12.48Purdue University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 25.7% | 23.4% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 21.5% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Davis | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Kluger | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 27.5% | 25.1% | 20.9% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Condit | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Brackman | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Loch | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Kinney | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Brand Koster | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 21.5% | 17.2% |
| Riley Moran | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 19.9% | 13.8% |
| Christian Herwig | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 22.0% | 44.1% |
| Kristen Rathbun | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 23.3% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.