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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.70vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.78+3.66vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.37+3.33vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+0.20vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.35-0.79vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-1.63vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50-3.03vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.13-3.25vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.38-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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5.66Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.33Cornell University1.370.0%1st Place
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4.2George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.21SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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4.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.1%1st Place
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3.97Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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7.81Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 19.1% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 9.2% |
| Sophia Peck | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 25.3% | 17.5% |
| Owen Timms | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Spencer Barnes | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Richard Gleason | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 3.7% |
| Aidan Lane | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.