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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.35+3.14vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.78+3.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+0.87vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.55vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.37+0.95vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.13-2.42vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.38vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.38-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14SUNY Maritime College2.350.2%1st Place
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5.49Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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3.87Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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5.95Cornell University1.370.1%1st Place
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4.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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5.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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7.71Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 15.5% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 8.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 17.3% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Will Murray | 20.2% | 21.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Peck | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 16.4% |
| Richard Gleason | 13.7% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 2.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 12.1% |
| Aidan Lane | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 17.4% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.