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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.35+3.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.80vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+1.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.50-0.29vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.37+0.98vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.51vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.13-2.41vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.78-2.70vs Predicted
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9Cornell University0.38-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13SUNY Maritime College2.350.2%1st Place
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5.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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4.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.1%1st Place
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3.71Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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5.98Cornell University1.370.1%1st Place
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3.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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5.3Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.72Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Barnes | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 10.5% |
| Richard Gleason | 13.3% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 17.9% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Peck | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 16.9% |
| Will Murray | 20.7% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 8.3% |
| Aidan Lane | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 16.5% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.