← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Will Murray 20.1% 18.9% 14.3% 15.2% 11.6% 9.1% 6.0% 4.0% 0.8%
Kenneth Corsig 14.5% 15.2% 16.4% 14.5% 13.9% 9.8% 8.6% 4.8% 2.3%
Oscar MacGillivray 6.8% 6.9% 8.9% 9.0% 11.1% 13.1% 14.6% 20.3% 9.3%
Spencer Barnes 14.7% 16.3% 14.6% 15.0% 12.4% 10.7% 8.2% 6.2% 1.9%
Sophia Peck 5.8% 7.5% 7.6% 8.9% 10.0% 10.5% 13.6% 20.1% 16.0%
Aidan Lane 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 2.8% 4.8% 5.4% 8.1% 15.6% 56.5%
Beckett Kumler 9.3% 6.6% 10.0% 9.0% 11.9% 15.3% 15.9% 14.0% 8.0%
Richard Gleason 14.5% 15.1% 12.9% 12.1% 12.2% 12.5% 12.1% 5.9% 2.7%
Cole Woodworth 12.2% 11.7% 12.4% 13.5% 12.1% 13.6% 12.9% 9.1% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.