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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+2.55vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+2.00vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+2.66vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.35+0.01vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.37+0.92vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.38+1.72vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78-1.65vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-3.76vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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4.0Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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4.01SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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5.92Cornell University1.370.1%1st Place
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7.72Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.35Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 20.1% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 9.3% |
| Spencer Barnes | 14.7% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Peck | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 16.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 56.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 9.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Richard Gleason | 14.5% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.