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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.37+5.10vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.82vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.78+2.35vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.350.00vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-0.89vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.46vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50-3.18vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.38-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Cornell University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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5.35Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.0SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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4.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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3.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.2%1st Place
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3.82Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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7.67Cornell University0.380.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Peck | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 16.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 11.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 6.8% |
| Spencer Barnes | 14.7% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Richard Gleason | 15.5% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Will Murray | 20.1% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 17.0% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Lane | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 55.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.