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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.93vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+0.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.79vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-1.04vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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3.93University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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3.05Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.96George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.27Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 31.8% | 23.9% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 9.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 22.3% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 27.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 13.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.0% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 29.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.