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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.72+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+0.62vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University1.25+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.53-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.46-0.77vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.25-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.11+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois0.01-0.42vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-0.46-0.31vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.03-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame-0.01-3.35vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-1.48-1.91vs Predicted
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15Purdue University-1.79-2.35vs Predicted
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17University of Chicago-2.40-3.51vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-1.63-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Wisconsin2.720.2%1st Place
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2.62University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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5.59Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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5.23University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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5.67Northwestern University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Illinois0.010.0%1st Place
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9.69Northern Michigan University-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.62Marquette University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Notre Dame-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Michigan-1.480.0%1st Place
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12.65Purdue University-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Chicago-2.400.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Michigan-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 24.6% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 29.1% | 25.8% | 19.4% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aras Karaitis | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 20.0% | 20.5% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Davis | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Kluger | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Loch | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kinney | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Brackman | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Condit | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Riley Moran | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 12.7% |
| Kristen Rathbun | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 22.7% | 23.6% |
| Christian Herwig | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 44.0% |
| Brand Koster | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 21.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.