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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.20+7.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+5.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.79+7.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.18+4.71vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.82+5.40vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.94+4.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.30+1.43vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+3.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.73+1.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.41+1.19vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.14-6.95vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-2.53vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.43-5.93vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-2.50vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.24-7.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-6.54vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51University of Rhode Island1.206.2%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University1.608.6%1st Place
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10.69Brown University0.793.6%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University1.186.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Rhode Island0.824.0%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University0.943.9%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island1.306.5%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.4%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University0.733.9%1st Place
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9.22Brown University1.085.7%1st Place
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12.19Brown University0.412.6%1st Place
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5.05Brown University2.1415.9%1st Place
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10.47University of Rhode Island1.053.6%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University1.437.0%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.1%1st Place
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8.19Brown University1.246.6%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.884.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Jack Roman | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Grace Ivancich | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Jack Crager | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Gabby Collins | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Jed Lory | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 18.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.