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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.62vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.93vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88-0.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.26-1.05vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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3.06Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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4.95George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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4.26Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 31.4% | 24.3% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 27.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 20.9% | 23.5% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 10.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 14.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.8% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 29.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.