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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.66vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+1.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88-0.06vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57-0.51vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.11vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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3.0Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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4.49Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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4.86George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 31.8% | 23.4% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 21.4% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 10.5% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 13.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.1% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 7.4% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 27.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.