← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.83vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.69+0.64vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+1.19vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.43-0.94vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.26-0.02vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.09vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.57-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
-
2.64Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
-
4.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.06Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
-
4.98George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
3.91University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.37Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 25.3% |
| Bridget Green | 29.8% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 13.4% |
| Meredith Moran | 21.7% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 29.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.1% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 10.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.