← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.43+2.01vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.57+2.43vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.69-0.34vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+0.18vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.26-0.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.05vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.01Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
-
4.43Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
2.66Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
-
4.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
4.99George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
3.95University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 25.0% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 17.4% |
| Bridget Green | 28.6% | 25.5% | 19.5% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 11.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 13.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 29.8% |
| Madeleine Rice | 12.4% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 10.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.